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Running Hot: Option Trading and Market Analysis, October 15th

October 16, 2011 By Steven Place

Over the past two weeks, the $SPY has rallied 14%.

If we rally another 14% in the next two weeks, the $SPY will clear 52 week highs.

From that framework, I step in this week and put on my mean reversion hat, as the risk/reward for initiating new swing longs is not the best right here.

I could be wrong. We've seen many times in which liquidity has trumped technicals, fundamentals, and common sense. So if the market dictates to me to take long trades, I will not be the one to disagree.

In this Episode of IWO Brunch, we discuss:

  • a confluence of resistance levels coming up on $USO, $FXE, $FXA, $DBA, and other "risk-on" type plays
  • other second-derivative readings such as the McClellan Oscillator that show a strong breadth thrust, but registers overbought readings in the short term
  • how the price action resembles the 2007 top
  • potential Earnings Trades for $AAPL and $ISRG
  • your individual requests

You can watch the show below:

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