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Are You Watching the Yen?

May 7, 2014 By Steven Place

It's pretty apparent now that the shenanigans from the Federal Reserve has given investors a very "investable" environment.

But what about the Bank of Japan?

They have been doing their own version of QE-- and a pretty aggressive one at that.

Their program led to a strong devaluation of the Yen throughout 2013, which helped spur equity markets higher.

usd-jpy

In fact, I'll argue that the liquidity provided by the BoJ was a key driver to the "non-stop" upside for equities last year.

But now, the yen appears to be topping out. There was a momentum divergence and a failure to resume its trend.

If you invest in stocks, this is important. Yen strength tends to not be good for stocks.

If the USD/JPY fails to stay above 101, the equity markets will have a hard time re-asserting the cyclical bull market.

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